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Natural Hazards and Climate Exposure

EN-08 · Matrix · Environmental Resources

Rating
2Impacts likely but may be easily resolved
Why
Impact likely
Worst case
Not above the rating
Evidence
Reported
Cited claims
8
Requirements
0
Requests
3

Rating

2Impacts likely but may be easily resolved

The engine shows this rating as 2

The rule

Code computed the rating from the assessor's inputs:

impact_likely=yes -> 2

Set by the rule

Decision
Released with flags
The engine's reasons
  • Agencies not in the register or the evidence: Carroll County Engineer, FEMA
  • Independent assessments split on the category (5 samples: {'2': 4, '1': 1})
Evidence state
Reported · desktop, consultant or developer record

Worst case

The same rule on the worst case gives no rating above the point.

Scenario

Flood levels prove higher than mapped, the 14 flood-fringe acres are dropped, and access via Linnet Road and elevated equipment need non-standard design and higher deductibles.

Step still pending
Local hydraulic model of Sallow Creek and insurer hail and flood review
Inputs in the worst case
Extent peripheral · Avoidable partly · Pathway standard · Impact likely yes
The rule on the worst case
worst case (impact_likely=yes -> 2) not above the point
Claims that make it plausible
C-75d2a2cad3, C-db721b9fe7, C-9f6b8123d8

Revision

Not revised.

The five inputs

Comments

Landowners report floodplain fields flood for a day or two most springs, and Sallow Creek overtopped Linnet Road at the county bridge in the June 2019 flash flood. Seasonal high groundwater may be near the surface in the floodplain. Design wind is 115 mph and snow load 20 psf. No hail or wildfire screen is in the data room.

Critique

Verdict
upheld
Suggested direction for the rating
same
Summary

Category 2 is plausible given reported recurring flooding and shallow groundwater. Weaknesses: extent 'peripheral' and the 14 acres' location lack quoted support, the June 2019 date isn't in the quote, and the agencies list (County Engineer, FEMA) is unsupported.

Critic model
Luminol

Issues

  1. Severity minor · Kind unsupported_statement

    Rationale and worst case say flooding is tied to the Sallow Creek floodplain and 14 flood-fringe acres 'part of the site', but quotes do not name Sallow Creek as the floodplain source of the spring flooding, nor give the 14 acres' location or the extent of the floodplain. 'Peripheral' rests on no quoted extent. Overtopping of Linnet Road at a county bridge is off-site access, not on-site extent. Settling evidence: floodplain acreage/overlay vs. layout.

    Cites C-75d2a2cad3, C-9f6b8123d8, C-05146fd25c

  2. Severity minor · Kind overstatement

    Cited claim C-db721b9fe7 is truncated and does not show the Linnet Road overtopping was 'June 2019 flash flood' or a 'county bridge' flash flood. The year/event type are unsupported by the quote. Also the quote shows landowner reports, not documented measurement; 'flash flood' is overstated.

    Cites C-db721b9fe7

  3. Severity minor · Kind unsupported_statement

    Pathway rationale cites C-4bf6e9a178 and C-ebc49abde3 (stormwater permit, dam size) but quotes are truncated. 'Drainage review by Carroll County Engineer' and 'FEMA' as agencies are not supported by any claim or requirement; the Carroll County Engineer role is not documented. Ohio EPA is for construction stormwater, which is outside this row's hazard scope.

    Cites C-4bf6e9a178, C-ebc49abde3

  4. Severity minor · Kind other

    Worst case says 'avoidable partly' while point input is avoidable yes, and 'higher deductibles' and 'non-standard design' are not supported by any claim; the insurer review is not a documented pending step in the data room. It does name a real pending step (hydraulic model), so only mild overstatement.

    Cites C-75d2a2cad3

  5. Severity minor · Kind missing_next_step

    Next steps should include obtaining the flood-level/hydraulic study basis and overlaying the floodplain on the layout; also the 0.5-inch ice applies only to gen-tie structures, but the assessment frames design loads generally. Minor wording.

    Cites C-4f11de30a3

Checks

  • Passed

    rating_has_evidence · blocking

  • Passed

    presence_is_evidenced · not blocking

  • Passed

    counter_evidence_considered · not blocking

  • Passed

    numbers_grounded · not blocking

  • Failed

    agencies_grounded · not blocking

    Agencies not in the register or the evidence: Carroll County Engineer, FEMA

  • Passed

    cutoff_respected · blocking

  • Failed

    assessor_samples_split · not blocking

    Independent assessments split on the category (5 samples: {'2': 4, '1': 1})

  • Passed

    critic_not_refuted · blocking

Evidence (8)

Each claim the row cites: the statement in the assessor's words, then the quote the engine found on the page.

Arrow keys move the selection. A middle-click opens the claim's own page.

  1. Free water was met at 6 to 14 feet in 9 borings, mostly perched near Sallow Creek; seasonal high groundwater may be near the surface in the floodplain.Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · Page 1Exact
  2. Disturbance over one acre requires Ohio EPA construction stormwater general permit OHC000006 coverage, including an SWP3 and Notice of Intent.Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · Page 1Exact
  3. Design loads: basic wind speed 115 mph, ground snow load 20 psf, and 0.5-inch radial ice for gen-tie structures.Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · Page 1Exact
  4. Seismic site class C; seismic hazard is low.Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · Page 1Exact
  5. Flood fringe array rows should be checked against a local hydraulic model; if flood levels are higher than mapped, those 14 acres may need to be dropped.Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · Page 2Exact
  6. Landowners report floodplain fields flood for a day or two most springs.Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · Page 2Exact
  7. Landowners report Sallow Creek overtopped Linnet Road at the county bridge in the June 2019 flash flood.Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · Page 2Exact
  8. Basins have embankments no higher than 6 feet and about 9 acre-feet each, below the size requiring an ODNR dam construction permit.Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · Page 1Exact

Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project

C-05146fd25c · Page 1 of 3 · DR-0018

Open the claim, C-05146fd25c

Free water was met at 6 to 14 feet in 9 borings, mostly perched near Sallow Creek; seasonal high groundwater may be near the surface in the floodplain.

Quote check Exact · Placed verbatim · The quote occurs on the page exactly as written. · Read as native

Graywacke Geotechnical, LLC Geotechnical engineering and subsurface exploration | Canton, Ohio Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project, Harrison Township, Carroll County, Ohio Prepared for Northfold Energy Partners, LLC. Project G23-0219. May 15, 2023. Summary of findings Graywacke drilled 24 borings (B-1 to B-24) across the approximately 1,140-acre Project Area, four of them (B-17 to B-20) to 100 feet in the East Block to investigate mining, and drove and load-tested 30 test piles (TP-1 to TP-30) from March 27 to April 14, 2023. 1. Abandoned underground mine. ODNR Division of Mineral Resources Management abandoned underground mine maps show the Elsby No. 2 Mine, worked in the Upper Freeport (No. 7) coal from about 1915 to 1938 by room-and-pillar methods, beneath approximately 165 acres of the East Block (Parcels 9, 10 and 12). Cover over the coal ranges from 45 to 95 feet. Borings B-17 and B-19 dropped through voids and collapsed rubble at 61 and 74 feet. Two closed depressions, 12 and 20 feet across, on Parcel 10 are mine subsidence features (sinkholes). Pillar failure can continue for decades; sinkhole-type subsidence is most likely where cover is under about 100 feet, which is the case over the whole undermined area. This is the main geotechnical constraint on the Project. 2. Oil and gas wells. Two plugged and abandoned oil and gas wells (Parcels 4 and 10) and an active horizontal Utica well pad adjoining Parcel 5 were located. Keep structures at least 100 feet from plugged wells, and follow the operator's setbacks from the pad and its flowlines. 3. Shallow bedrock and pile refusal. Weathered shale and sandstone were met at 4 to 11 feet. Nine of the 30 test piles (30 percent) met refusal before reaching 8 feet of embedment, mostly on the West Block ridges. Pre-drilling should be assumed for about 30 percent of pile locations. 4. Groundwater. Free water was met at 6 to 14 feet in 9 borings, mostly perched on shale near Sallow Creek. Quote starts. Seasonal high groundwater may be near the surface in the floodplain. Quote ends. 5. Corrosivity. Field resistivity of 1,800 to 3,500 ohm-cm and soil pH of 5.1 to 5.8 indicate moderate corrosivity to buried steel; sulfate exposure is negligible. 6. Slopes. Ground slopes are 0 to 8 percent in the West Block and up to 18 percent in the East Block and on the Sallow Creek valley walls, where colluvium overlies shale. Slope stability is adequate for arrays if cuts on the valley walls are avoided; one small landslide scar was seen on Parcel 12. 7. Design parameters. Frost depth 36 inches. Seismic site class C; seismic hazard is low. Design loads follow ASCE 7-16: basic wind speed 115 mph (Risk Category II), ground snow load 20 psf, and 0.5-inch radial ice for the gen-tie structures. Graywacke Geotechnical, LLC - Project G23-0219 Page 1 of 3

The outline marks where the quote begins on the page.

Page 1 of Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project
  1. C-05146fd25c

    Free water was met at 6 to 14 feet in 9 borings, mostly perched near Sallow Creek; seasonal high groundwater may be near the surface in the floodplain.

    Quoted from page 1
    Seasonal high groundwater may be near the surface in the floodplain.

    Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · DR-0018 · Page 1 · 2023-05-15

    Source field_study · Claim type presence · Polarity presence · Confidence medium · Quote check exact, 100 of 100

    Cited by EG-01 · Filed under EG-01, EN-08

  2. C-4bf6e9a178

    Disturbance over one acre requires Ohio EPA construction stormwater general permit OHC000006 coverage, including an SWP3 and Notice of Intent.

    Quoted from page 1
    Construction will disturb more than one acre, so the Project needs coverage under Ohio EPA's construction

    Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · DR-0019 · Page 1 · 2023-06-05

    Source consultant_memo · Claim type regulatory · Polarity presence · Confidence high · Quote check exact, 100 of 100

    Cited by EG-02, PE-02 · Filed under EG-02, PE-02

  3. C-4f11de30a3

    Design loads: basic wind speed 115 mph, ground snow load 20 psf, and 0.5-inch radial ice for gen-tie structures.

    Quoted from page 1
    basic wind speed 115 mph (Risk Category II), ground snow load 20 psf, and 0.5-inch radial ice for the gen-tie structures.

    Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · DR-0018 · Page 1 · 2023-05-15

    Source consultant_memo · Claim type study_finding · Polarity neutral · Confidence medium · Quote check exact, 100 of 100

  4. C-560f40e113

    Seismic site class C; seismic hazard is low.

    Quoted from page 1
    Seismic site class C; seismic hazard is low.

    Preliminary Geotechnical Engineering Report - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · DR-0018 · Page 1 · 2023-05-15

    Source consultant_memo · Claim type absence · Polarity absence · Confidence high · Quote check exact, 100 of 100

    Cited by EN-02 · Filed under EN-02, EN-08

  5. C-75d2a2cad3

    Flood fringe array rows should be checked against a local hydraulic model; if flood levels are higher than mapped, those 14 acres may need to be dropped.

    Quoted from page 2
    if flood levels prove higher than mapped, those 14 acres may need to be dropped.

    Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · DR-0019 · Page 2 · 2023-06-05

    Source consultant_memo · Claim type recommendation · Polarity neutral · Confidence medium · Quote check exact, 100 of 100

    Cited by AQ-02 · Filed under AQ-02, EN-08

  6. C-9f6b8123d8

    Landowners report floodplain fields flood for a day or two most springs.

    Quoted from page 2
    the floodplain fields flood for a day or two most springs.

    Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · DR-0019 · Page 2 · 2023-06-05

    Source consultant_memo · Claim type presence · Polarity presence · Confidence medium · Quote check exact, 100 of 100

    Cited by AQ-02 · Filed under AQ-02, EN-08

  7. C-db721b9fe7

    Landowners report Sallow Creek overtopped Linnet Road at the county bridge in the June 2019 flash flood.

    Quoted from page 2
    Landowners report that Sallow Creek overtopped Linnet Road at the county bridge during the

    Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · DR-0019 · Page 2 · 2023-06-05

    Source consultant_memo · Claim type presence · Polarity presence · Confidence medium · Quote check exact, 100 of 100

    Cited by AQ-02 · Filed under AQ-02, EN-08

  8. C-ebc49abde3

    Basins have embankments no higher than 6 feet and about 9 acre-feet each, below the size requiring an ODNR dam construction permit.

    Quoted from page 1
    The basins have embankments no higher than 6 feet and hold about 9 acre-feet each, below the size at which

    Stormwater, Floodplain and Drainage Memo - Tamsin Ridge Solar and Storage Project · DR-0019 · Page 1 · 2023-06-05

    Source consultant_memo · Claim type absence · Polarity absence · Confidence high · Quote check exact, 100 of 100

    Cited by EG-02, PE-02 · Filed under EG-02, PE-02

Requirements and permits

The requirements the assessor tied to this row, by level. Each quote from dated law is shown with its source.

No requirement is tied to this row.

Information requests

  • IR-96d020deb4 · Medium priority

    Provide the hazard or climate risk screen (national hazard index, wildfire risk map, hail or tornado frequency data, lender or insurer screen) for the project area, or confirm none exists.

    Missing evidence
    Hazard or climate risk screen (national hazard index, wildfire risk map, hail or tornado frequency data, lender or insurer screen)
    Consequence
    Natural Hazards and Climate Exposure is rated on partial evidence without it.
    Blocks the decision
    No
    Raised by
    completeness
  • IR-0011d0e4ed · Medium priority

    Provide the design basis report or engineering study (design wind speed, snow and ice loads, module hail rating, stow strategy, design temperature) for the project area, or confirm none exists.

    Missing evidence
    Design basis report or engineering study (design wind speed, snow and ice loads, module hail rating, stow strategy, design temperature)
    Consequence
    Natural Hazards and Climate Exposure is rated on partial evidence without it.
    Blocks the decision
    No
    Raised by
    completeness
  • IR-248c346d8e · Medium priority

    Provide the wildfire hazard zone designation, wildfire protection plan, or local flood, drainage and dam inundation history beyond fema mapping for the project area, or confirm none exists.

    Missing evidence
    Wildfire hazard zone designation, wildfire protection plan, or local flood, drainage and dam inundation history beyond FEMA mapping
    Consequence
    Natural Hazards and Climate Exposure is rated on partial evidence without it.
    Blocks the decision
    No
    Raised by
    completeness

Next steps

  • Keep arrays and equipment out of the flood fringe or run the local hydraulic model; confirm Linnet Road access during floods.
  • Request design basis report, insurer hail and wind loss history, and any climate or wildfire screen.

Agencies

  • Carroll County Engineer
  • Ohio EPA
  • FEMA

Cost and impact

Impact
C, S
Potential cost level
L-M
Why

Flood-fringe layout adjustment, drainage design and possible loss of about 14 acres; standard design and insurance otherwise. Hail and wildfire insurance terms are unknown.

Impact: C = cost, S = schedule. Potential cost level: L, L-M, M, M-H, H (relative to a utility-scale solar budget).

Lumerian Labs 2026